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The real business of Premier League survival begins in earnest and for me it's a personal goal to stay and stick two fingers up to the league that has derided us and made it so difficult to carry on. Looking around us there are some real signs that Pompey could easily become the 2nd club to be bottom at Xmas and make it to safety.

The FA Cup and weather have left us with games in hand - now while all of us would prefer the points on the board that teams above us on more games might have - I'd rather be playing those games now with the momentum the Coventry and Sunderland games have given us.

West Ham is the CLASSIC 6-pointer. A win for Pompey at home (and we've beaten Liverpool 2-0 at Fratton this season so no one should worry us) would put us 2 points behind AND leave us with a game in hand over the Hammers. West Ham may be breathing the sigh of relief Pompey would love to feel right now - but looking at their striker targets (Benjani and Beattie) I'm not too worried by that - I wouldn't mind a striker of their ilk but if Utaka keeps his form and with FP and Aruna coming back from the ACON we should be in reasonable shape up front.

Around us, of the bottom 7 clubs only West Ham have a better goal difference - and by more than 7 goals in all cases. Bolton have wasted their two games in hand and remain 4 points above us and Hull have played two more are only 5 points ahead. Let's face it - a win against the Hammers and we're not just in it, we've got momentum, games in hand and better goal difference - we're in good shape to get out and survive the season.

The key has got to be who is leaving, who we get in - the ending of the ACON - and how these new and returning players bed in - we cannot afford too long a transition period.

We're significantly better off points-difference-wise than we were during our last great escape and Hull and Wolves are both looking very vulnerable. Fact is we face a tough run with sh*tteh, Fulham and Manure away after West Ham - three points from those would be fantastic - all three to be played between 31st Jan and 6th Feb.

Feb then becomes an important month: Sunderland at home (we should be pushing for 3 pts) - Scum in the cup - Home to Stoke (3 pts it should be) - Away to Burnley (again if we're going to stay up it HAS to be 3 pts).

March is a bitch with Liverpool and Tottenham away and Chelsea at Fratton - but wedged in there is ANOTHER vital 6-pointer as we host HULL at Fratton (3 pts a must).

Then, it's not a bad run in - though trying to get something at Everton on the last game of the season could be tough - but 4 of the last 6 are easily winnable with two of them absolute 6-pointers: Blackburn at Fratton (it has to be Heinz - I mean 3pts), away to Bolton (so tough but we've got to be looking to take something from the game) - home to Wolves (God I hope this game makes us safe) - otherwise it's getting something away at Goodison!

We should be looking for:

West Ham (h) [3]
City (a) [0]
Fulham (a) [1?]
Man Utd (a) [0]
Sunderland (h) [3]
Scum.....
Stoke (h) [3]
Burnley (a) [3]
Chelsea (h) [0]
Liverpool (a) [0]
Hull (h) [3]
Tottenham (a) [0]
Blackburn (h) [1]
Wigan (a) [1?]
Villa (h) [0]
Bolton (a) [1?]
Wolves (h) [3]

Cumulative [22 points......] Which means we need a win at Goodison [3 - 25 and safety] ...

O.... M.....G.... But on my reckoning, with 36-38 being enough for safety we need 24 points - 8 wins from 18 games... lets start chalking them off!

I'm going to be sooooo much more grey in 13 weeks time.

Written by jim4pompey.

The views within this article are the views of the individual who wrote and submitted this piece, sometimes solely theirs. They are not necessarily shared by the Vital Pompey Site Journalists.


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Join the Vital Pompey Debate

Writer:pompeyrug
Date:Monday January 25 2010
Time: 11:47AM

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Comments

0
All is possible if we keep the majority of our players. However, if they don't get paid on time this month, many may just walk. Let alone those who will go because we have to sell. Then of course there is the away match in the High Court with the Revenue & Customs!!!
storagematt
25/01/2010 11:58:00
0
I can see that one going to poenalties... boom boom
jim4pompey
25/01/2010 12:08:00
0
Has the ban been lifted yet, like storrie said it would be today?
moley2
25/01/2010 12:17:00
0
not yet
jim4pompey
25/01/2010 12:25:00
0
As you say jim it depends on the arrival loanees being equal or mostly better than the departures. if AB stays fit we wont iss Jamo that much if at all and the avings will allow probably two half decnt loanees. Ohara whilst not the be all and end all footballer ( not exactly our dead ball saviour) has a good drive and motivation that can lift a team. The hammers have reinforced and will feel confident if we can win and knock that confidence there are plenty around who are vyng to relace us in the drop zone; sunderland, Hull, Wigan, Burnely, Wolves. id happy take any three from that four to take the bottom the drop. I would just love to see the disgust on scudamore's face if we beat the drop.
russellm
25/01/2010 12:26:00
0
if we stay up there should be a scudamore mask for the wolves game...
jim4pompey
25/01/2010 12:47:00
0
Oh Russ would that be great .. Not only strave off relegation but also administration .. He'd have to put up with our bad smell for (at least) another season


Jim.. Looking at the list is does seem doable .. I'm gonna go on the BBC predictor in a mo and see what the 'lowest points for survival I can get is ... I reckon it might be 30 or 31 ..Back soon
chix
25/01/2010 13:10:00
0
reckon you might be right chix as I dont see that many teams going on a run like the above...
jim4pompey
25/01/2010 13:18:00
0
I love this positive thinking jim! I just hope we can do the unthinkable!
Pompey Malta
25/01/2010 13:42:00
0
Well.. I've got us on 41 points finishing 12th !!.. Burnley Wolves and Hull to go down .. but I've also go Wigan surviving on 35 points in 14th.. Paul Hart always said it was going to be the lowest points total for survival ever this year .. I reckon he is spot on
chix
25/01/2010 13:42:00
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