Chix's Chatter - '3 from 3' - Set Two
In a bid to retain our premiership status Chix continues his assessment of Pompey's chances with his second set of '3 from 3'
Now no laughing fellas! I`m the first to admit that my magical mathematical system has not got off to a good start, but I am confident that all will come good in the end and Pompey's Premiership status will remain in tact.
If you've yet to understand the logic behind '3 from 3' click here but basically it is my way of monitoring whether we are on track to remain in the Premier League for another season.
I take each group of three games in chronological order and try and assess where we can obtain a 'minimum' of three points from each set of three games. When averaged over the season '3 from 3'equates to 38 points which basically ensures Pompey's Premiership safety .. It is easy really (honest)!
So how am I doing so far?
Well I started with 'Set One', predicting 4 points from our first 3 games, but as we know 'Lady Luck' was not on our side against Fulham and Birmingham and despite an improved performance against Arsenal we got the thumping we expected - So four points predicted but none gained, but all is not lost, we are only three points (that's just one win) adrift from where we need to be and there is a whole season in front of us.
Anyway, those games are now in the past and there is no point crying over spilt Stella, so without further ado here is my take on where I think we should collect our first set of three points - Remember I am targeting a 'minimum' of three points from three games, but obviously I'm not gonna be upset if I'm wrong and we achieve more … especially as we already have a deficit to make up!
Man City (H)
As expected Man City have started the season well.
A 2-0 away win at Blackburn on the opening day of season was swiftly followed by a 1-0 home victory over Wolves a week later but despite their 2-0 away win at Palace in Carling Cup in midweek I can not see them continuing to keep clean sheets. I predict Given, Bridge, Toure and (now) Lescott & co. will concede a goal and it will be against Pompey.
The question is will David James manage to keep his first clean sheet of the season against his former employers?
With Tevez, Robinho, Adebayor and Bellamy supplied by the likes of Ireland and Barry it is hard to see how he can (especially with Distin now departed), so I have to predict Man City to also score, but I think it may only be the one.
I believe this will be the game that halts Man City's 100% record and sees Pompey grab their first Premiership point of the season
Chix's prediction: Score draw and our first point towards my '3 from 3'... but whatever the result just remember 11 March 2006! That will make you smile
For me, this one is simples!
Bolton are currently pointless. A 0-1 home defeat to Sunderland on the opening day was followed by a 0-1 defeat to Hull. Two defeats against teams Gary Megson would expect to be in and around come the end of the season is not a good start. Add to that the fact that before they come to Fratton there is the small matter of Liverpool at home to deal with and I can see troubles ahead for the Reebok boys.
I think The Wanderers will arrive at Fratton without an point (or even a goal) on the board and occupying a breath alongside Pompey in the bottom three and although a run of games that sees Pompey (A) , Stoke (H) and Birmingham (A) which they will surely be targeting to get their season off and running, I think they will return to Lancashire empty handed
Chix's prediction: Home win A fruitless return to Fratton for Sean Davis and Matty Taylor and our first win of the season.
Aston Villa (A)
Being so far in the future it is hard to predict what could happen between now and 19th September but to date, Villa have lost one and won one.
A 0-2 home defeat to Wigan on the opening day was followed by an impressive 3-1 win at Anfield and although they are currently smarting over the away goals defeat to Rapid Vienna in the Europa League qualifiers I believe Martin O'Neills men are made of sterner stuff and will dispatch Fulham (H) and local rivals Birmingham (A) before entertaining Pompey
Three wins from four games will no doubt put Aston Vila in the top six before our visit and despite us not losing there for three seasons I can unfortunately only see one result,
Chix's prediction: Home win Anything Pompey get will be a bonus.
So once again I`m going to predict 4 points from the next 9 on offer, which if it comes off will give us 4 points from 6 games, still not on target to avoid the drop but hopefully a step (albeit not a giant one) in the right direction..
So do you agree with me ?
How do you think we can obtain a minimum of three points from these three games?
Perhaps you think we will get more or less than the 3 needed or 4 I've predicted.
Post your thoughts below
Oh and don't forget the Vital Pompey Prediction League
Here are the links Manchester City , Bolton Wanderers Aston Villa
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