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Chix's Chatter - '3 from 3'




Chix reveals his strategy to retain Pompey's premiership status.

Earlier in the week I asked the question 'If you were Paul Hart, how would you plan to avoid relegation?' and many of you offered various ideas on how you would plan to survive the forthcoming campaign.

Some ideas were good, some were more .. let's say Tony Adams! Some of you thought 'all out attack' was the best policy, whereas others said they would concentrate on winning our home games, others shrugged and commented that they would just take one game at a time and hope for the best!

Full details of who said what can be found here

But now it's my turn. So .. 'If I (Chix) was Paul Hart, how would I plan to avoid relegation ?'

Well believe it or not I think it's simples! . Let me tell you why.

Mathematically, 33.33% of the 114 Premiership points on offer will keep us up ... That's 38 points if you haven't got a calculator!

Now I'm not suggesting we try an obtain a point from every game, that would be daft!

Hoping for a draw at places like Old Trafford, Stamford Bridge, Anfield etc. is hard enough let alone expecting one, conversely only expecting one point at home to Hull, Burnley, Birmingham and the other teams we expect to be 'in and around us' would be madness in my book

So how do we achieve the magical 38 points then Chix I hear you cry!

Well this is how I would do it.

I've studied our fixtures and have grouped them chronologically into sets of three. (The first set being Fulham (H), Birmingham (A), Arsenal (A)) and for each set of three games I will target a minimum return of three points.

It won't matter if we draw all three or just win one, all we need is just three points from three games.Or '3 from 3'

Now, you may think that our fixture list will throw up a couple of tough 'sets of three' and you'd be right! Sunderland (A), Chelsea (A) & Liverpool (H) in December is gonna be hard as is Burnley (A), Chelsea (H) & Liverpool (A) at the end of February/beginning of March, but I still think three points are achievable from both those (and all the other) 'sets of three' fixtures.

So confident am I that my system will work and Pompey will avoid the drop I'm even going to predict where the points will come from within each 'set of three'. I am even going to publish my progress so you can applaud me when I am right or publicly ridicule me should I be wrong

Each time a new 'set of three' fixtures is about to commence I will provide my view on where I believe we should look for the minimum of '3 from 3'. I will then mirror these thoughts in the Vital Pompey Predictions League.for you all to see.

My first predictions will be on the front page early tomorrow morning.

So, what do you think of my system ?

Is '3 from 3' always going to be achievable ?

Post your comments below


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Prediction League
The Journalist

Writer: Chix Mail feedback, articles or suggestions

Date:Friday August 14 2009

Time: 8:09PM

Your Comments

I'm so convinced this will work it's dispelled all fears of relegation whatsoever - 'We are staying up' say 'we are staying up'
Chix
Three points tomorrow and we will!!
eastneydave
Good plan, the way I would avoid relegation is; not sell all my best players; not get Paul Hart as manager and most importantly not get involved in a protracted takeover ...... Bugger !!!
russellm
i would; sign Kanu on a one month deal; play him as a lone striker/midfielder; have 9 players in defence.
.Andrew.
Eastneydave You'll have to wait and see what I've predicted for the Fulham game .. although a winning start would be fantastic wouldn't it
Chix
Russ You sound like that old geezer with the flowers who used to be on the Fast Show.. Ohh bugger! (lol)
Chix
Andrew Kanu on a one month deal - Why would anybody do that? .. It'll take him that long to get back to the centre circle after he's scored to single handedly save us
Chix
mathematical sound, and pretty senseable, can't actually find anything wrong with it which is really annoying lol. be interesting how well you do on the preditions front cause surely theres a run of 3 games in the season where you don't stand a chance of getting 3 points and ofc one where we'll be aiming for 6 or even 9. but tbh i was never that worried about the season and you've just confirms my opptimism :) (i think hart will surprise alot of people)
pompeym@
Remember when adams played kanu in midfield that was a joke he cant run...
pompeyhussler
Only Pompey would sign Kanu on a month long deal, the pace of a 20,000 tonne rowing boat, he is going to rip apart defences, fact. I agree with pompeym@, Hart is going to surprise a lot of people this season.
.Andrew.
Good start and i think we will defently stay up
PompeyFcMad
Only Pompey would sign Kanu on a month long deal, the pace of a 20,000 tonne rowing boat, he is going to rip apart defences, fact. I agree with pompeym@, Hart is going to surprise a lot of people this season.
.Andrew.
No idea why it has posted me twice?!
.Andrew.
Win 10, draw 10 - it isn't beyond us. It starts tomorrow with 3 points. FFC won't know what's hit 'em.
UKTony
M@ It a sound theory I tell ya but the predictions are gonna be tough but as long as we get '3 from 3' that's really all that counts tbh. The hardest sets of three are those mentioned in the article (unless we have any fixture changes) and I really reckon it's doable in EVERY instance. Sure they will be times when we should expect more than three .. but three is all we need to stay up .. amything else is a bonus I reckon. I begining to think of Hart positively too
Chix
Hussler Kanu in the middle is like watching me ride a pushbike uphill - getting nowhere fast and extremely pointless
Chix
Andrew & Mad Re Hart and staying up .. I'm feeling good about both at the mo - The summer has been crap but I think we are about to turn a very big corner - 3 points tomorrow would be brilliant.. and then Birmingham !
Chix
UKTony 10 wins, 10 draws and 18 loses would see us finish about 12th - That'll do nicely but ten wins is hard to predict (against who?) even if you just target the home games.. '3 from 3' is the way to go - Trust me..
Chix
Seems like a good (cunning) plan !!
NorfolknBlue
Norfolk A cunning plan indeed .. Now, if I've got three beans..
Chix
good to hear your warming to hart mate, i honestly think he did what he had to do last year and did it well. also heard that kidd's not completely off the table (actually was that from the forum thing i don't remember with all this info hehe). and this big corner when do you reakon its coming your usually pretty good with predictions like that (apart from sven *cough cough*), we talking days, weeks or months you reakon
pompeym@
Some games i can see a few teams coming out with the attitude 'ahh, they are weak, this is going to be a walk over', and underestimate us. Would be ideal if one of those teams were old droppy chops...
.Andrew.
their is always a surprise package in the premiship each year .. lets hope its us!! europe here we come AGAIN...
pompeyhussler
LETS GET THE OLD ATMOSPHERE BACK .... and lets get in their faces. ***** em up get in to em.... 100% backing all the way .... even mullins. lets even get a chant going for mullins... any ideas
pompeyhussler
M@ I was seriously gutted about Sven !.. The corbner to which I refer (that sounds posh!) is not far away I reckon.. gauging people reaction from last night .. especially Eastneydave's (he's normally quite considered, but last night textd me the moment he left the forum) and Peter Storries 'smile' and 'wait and see comments' something is a foot .. but and a bit big but it could actually mean that Dr SAF is coming and PS has lined himself up.. Still I reckon we will know by the 24th August .. what you have to work out is why I chose the 24th .. Who's that at my door .. Is it a German .. ah Wilkomen Holger
Chix
Andrew & Hussler I agree.. not about Spurs but we WILL be underestimated for sure .. even as soon as the third game I reckon.. read my article '3 from 3' in the morning and you'l see what I mean..
Chix
Hussler (again) I agree (again) the atmospere will be crucial this year and EVERY player should have a song.. now Mullins.. what can we sing about him..
Chix
haha, good luck finding an interesting feature of mullins play to sing about XD. as for the 24th you have me intriged good sir, so i'm gonna go do some research on ze german and ze dr but hey if your right we only got 2 weeks to wait and after the last 11(?) weeks thats practically no time at all..... =/ lol but i definatly don't think it'll be saf in control or not fully in control anyway oh and i think everyone was gutted about sven mate but then again noone else had bet the rest of vital that he would come =P hehe
pompeym@
he passes like a squid and we paid a million quid its hadden mullins ,hadden mullins ....
pompeyhussler
hmmm... I don't like making aims for a set of games - and It even less when you are aiming for just 38 points. Targets have a nasty habit of being missed! I would say we should be going into every home game (well, maybe not the top 6/7 teams) looking to win, and every away game looking to draw minimum, and snatch a win on the break. Every team in the premiership is there for the taking, no-one is good 100% of the time, so aiming for 38 points, in my opinion, is aiming too low. However bad we may be.
pompeycarpet
If Pompey go into this season with a "strategy" to avoid relegation the club have probably already lost the fight.
Sindbad
I prefer the whole take each game as they come scenario. I.e tomorrow a win would be great, a draw would be just about acceptable. Whereas fixtures like Arsenal away, anything is a bonus. It is not as consistent as the 3 from 3 strategy, but if I had enough time to pan it out over the season, it would average out. The thing about the 3 from 3 strategy, should we get a group of 'winnable' games, (a few home games and an away game against fellow strugglers) most fans would be disappointed with 3 points.
PompeyFrippy
Hussler Passes like a 'Squid'!!!
Chix
Carpet You are missing the point.. It is not a target ... '3 from 3' is a NECESSITY
Chix
Sinbad You spend more time on Vital Pompey than your own site.. which is fine .. but if you are gonna comment please READ the articles
Chix
Frippy We proved on the other thread that each game as it come can can not .. A plan is needed.. ad as I said to Carpet .. '3 from 3' isn't a target ..it's a minimum requirement - I might suggest we go out to win a game but if not possible do not lose at any costs.. i.e. We need one point.. but would like all three
Chix
 

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